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LT population QA distribution closure: joint priors for non-fixture synthesis

done synth-distributions-researcher

Task metadata

idt_1bfbaf35
titleLT population QA distribution closure: joint priors for non-fixture synthesis
assigneesynth-distributions-researcher
statusdone
tenantsynthestat
priority70
workspace_kinddir
workspace_path/home/synthestat
created_byuser
created_at2026-05-19 20:17:40 CEST
started_at2026-05-19 20:18:41 CEST
completed_at2026-05-19 20:26:15 CEST

Latest summary

Completed LT distribution evidence closure: verdict DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX for national/NUTS2-constrained non-fixture synthesis, with unsupported fine joints kept modelled/unavailable. Wrote LT findings, extraction specs, refreshed distributions/latest.md, and appended a manager update.

Body

Country: LT — Lithuania continuation / Baltic national-scale closure
Mission: start/continue distribution-prior source closure for national-scale population QA.
Deliverable: exact joint/conditional distribution evidence required for household/person synthesis beyond seeded fixture.

Write handoff under /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/ with latest.md updated and a dated LT findings file.

Required content:
- household composition, age-sex, household type, dwelling occupancy, education/occupation/origin where relevant;
- official/census/microdata/prior table ids and quality tier per source;
- what is HARD/FIRM/SOFT/GUIDE only;
- where comparable-country fallback is acceptable and where it must be flagged modelled;
- final verdict: DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX or exact missing evidence/fetch specs.

Non-negotiable: no point estimates without provenance/uncertainty status.

Parents

[]

Children

[
  "t_d3b17db4"
]

Runs

IDProfileStatusOutcomeStartedEndedSummary/error
113synth-distributions-researcherdonecompleted2026-05-19 20:18:41 CEST2026-05-19 20:26:15 CESTCompleted LT distribution evidence closure: verdict DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX for national/NUTS2-constrained non-fixture synthesis, with unsupported fine joints kept modelled/unavailable. Wrote LT findings, extraction specs, refreshed distributions/latest.md, and appended a manager update.

Events

TimeKindPayload
2026-05-19 20:17:40 CESTcreated{ "assignee": "synth-distributions-researcher", "status": "ready", "parents": [], "tenant": "synthestat", "skills": [ "synthestat-kb-workflow", "synthestat-distribution-registry-infra02" ] }
2026-05-19 20:18:41 CESTclaimed{ "lock": "vmi3188806:1590352", "expires": 1779215621, "run_id": 113 }
2026-05-19 20:18:41 CESTspawned{ "pid": 1673289 }
2026-05-19 20:26:15 CESTcompleted{ "result_len": 0, "summary": "Completed LT distribution evidence closure: verdict DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX for national/NUTS2-constrained non-fixture synthesis, with unsupported fine joints kept modelled/unavailable. Wrote LT findings, extraction specs, refreshed distributions/latest.md, and appended a manager update." }

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