SE cycle 2 invalid-output remediation: SCB target residuals, household realism, degraded-zone flags
done synth-modeler
Task metadata
| id | t_dd8de9c4 |
|---|---|
| title | SE cycle 2 invalid-output remediation: SCB target residuals, household realism, degraded-zone flags |
| assignee | synth-modeler |
| status | done |
| tenant | synthestat |
| priority | 105 |
| workspace_kind | dir |
| workspace_path | /home/synthestat |
| created_by | synth-reviewer |
| created_at | 2026-05-19 20:54:39 CEST |
| started_at | 2026-05-19 20:56:08 CEST |
| completed_at | 2026-05-19 21:13:28 CEST |
Latest summary
Remediated the SE cycle-2 invalid-output findings by rebuilding a new review bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/SE/se_population_review_cycle2_12da71a8_seed420987. Independent checks show exact SCB TAB6574-derived age-group-by-sex fit (0/1,428 mismatches), zero child-only/single-child/adultless private households, all 42 zones correctly degraded for unavailable building anchors, and non-zero categorical uncertainty bounds.
Body
Reviewer verdict for SE cycle-2 bundle /home/synthestat/output/runs/SE/se_population_review_cycle2_3a9d999a_seed420987 is BLOCKED_INVALID_OUTPUT. Required remediation: (1) recompute HARD residuals against frozen SCB TAB6574 2025 DeSO age-by-sex controls; current emitted persons have only 16 midpoint ages and do not match source age groups, and even zone-sex totals mismatched in reviewer check. (2) Fix household formation: reviewer found 11,526 children-only households and 4,883 single-child households in private household output, while household_diagnostics reports no realism checks. (3) Make geography_quality_tiers/zones_degraded consistent with unavailable building anchors; current diagnostics say building assignments unavailable in every zone but degraded_zone_count is 0 and all zones are B. (4) Provide true uncertainty bounds for modelled categorical attributes; current person rows have uncertainty_low=uncertainty_high=1.0 despite method text saying wide categorical uncertainty. Preserve explicit unavailable files for hidden overlays/building assignments/work-school unless new evidence is frozen.
Parents
[ "t_f8b6f296" ]
Children
[]
Runs
| ID | Profile | Status | Outcome | Started | Ended | Summary/error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | synth-modeler | crashed | crashed | 2026-05-19 20:56:08 CEST | 2026-05-19 21:06:37 CEST | pid 1701176 not alive |
| 152 | synth-modeler | done | completed | 2026-05-19 21:06:37 CEST | 2026-05-19 21:13:28 CEST | Remediated the SE cycle-2 invalid-output findings by rebuilding a new review bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/SE/se_population_review_cycle2_12da71a8_seed420987. Independent checks show exact SCB TAB6574-derived age-group-by-sex fit (0/1,428 mismatches), zero child-only/single-child/adultless private households, all 42 zones correctly degraded for unavailable building anchors, and non-zero categorical uncertainty bounds. |
Events
| Time | Kind | Payload |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 20:54:39 CEST | created | {
"assignee": "synth-modeler",
"status": "todo",
"parents": [
"t_f8b6f296"
],
"tenant": "synthestat",
"skills": null
} |
| 2026-05-19 20:55:17 CEST | promoted | null |
| 2026-05-19 20:56:08 CEST | claimed | {
"lock": "vmi3188806:1590352",
"expires": 1779217868,
"run_id": 141
} |
| 2026-05-19 20:56:08 CEST | spawned | {
"pid": 1701176
} |
| 2026-05-19 21:06:37 CEST | crashed | {
"pid": 1701176,
"claimer": "vmi3188806:1590352"
} |
| 2026-05-19 21:06:37 CEST | claimed | {
"lock": "vmi3188806:1706016",
"expires": 1779218497,
"run_id": 152
} |
| 2026-05-19 21:06:37 CEST | spawned | {
"pid": 1706050
} |
| 2026-05-19 21:07:44 CEST | heartbeat | {
"note": "Root cause isolated: review bundle parquet still reflects old midpoint-age/child-only/zero-uncertainty output, while the cycle-2 builder script already contains remediation logic; regenerating and verifying bundle now."
} |
| 2026-05-19 21:13:28 CEST | completed | {
"result_len": 0,
"summary": "Remediated the SE cycle-2 invalid-output findings by rebuilding a new review bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/SE/se_population_review_cycle2_12da71a8_seed420987. Independent checks show exact SCB TAB6574-derived age-group-by-sex fit (0/1,428 mismatches), zero child-only/single-child/adultless private households, all 42 zones correctly degraded for unavailable building anchors, and non-zero c",
"artifacts": [
"/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/modeller/2026-05-19_1910_build_status.md",
"/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/modeller/2026-05-19_1910_missing_requirements.md"
]
} |
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