Latest summary
NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES for AD run ad_population_review_cycle1_354c792b_seed420987. Bundle is present/readable and HARD/FIRM/SOFT residual summaries pass for the declared 2-zone seeded slice, but PASS is blocked by missing live Andorra official source/download evidence, incomplete provenance URLs/reference periods, unavailable hidden-population and work/school layers, non-nationwide geography, and 100% ISCO-3 fallback; reviewer handoff written to /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_165103Z_AD_population_review_cycle1.md.
Body
Review the AD (Andorra) population synthesis cycle-1 review bundle produced by parent task t_82a2fe70.
Project root: /home/synthestat
Contract to enforce: /home/synthestat/docs/contracts/population_review_bundle.md
Release mode: internal research review
Review scope:
- Verify the bundle is contract-complete under /home/synthestat/output/runs/AD/<run_id>/.
- Check HARD constraints match exactly; FIRM/SOFT/GUIDE constraints are treated according to declared tolerance/role.
- Check uncertainty bounds exist for all model-based estimates and that model-driven fine-geography fields are flagged.
- Check source_provenance includes source IDs/URLs, retrieval timestamps where applicable, geography levels, reference periods, and quality flags.
- Check hidden/weakly measured populations (homelessness, refugees/asylum seekers, Ukrainian displaced people, Syrian refugees, undocumented/seasonal, students, institutional) are separate overlays or explicit unavailable/degraded layers, not silent rewrites of de jure constraints.
- Check family composition, parent/child age gaps, school attendance, work/school assignment, dwellings/building realism, and geography quality tiers are either supported with evidence/model notes or explicitly unavailable/degraded.
- Check no overclaiming: weak evidence means relaxed constraints/wider uncertainty, not fake precision.
Required verdict:
Return exactly one of these routing verdicts in your kanban_complete metadata and prose summary:
- PASS
- NEEDS_MODEL_FIX
- NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES
- BLOCKED_INVALID_OUTPUT
- EVIDENCE_EXHAUSTED_HUMAN_REVIEW
- MODEL_IMPROVEMENT_EXHAUSTED_HUMAN_REVIEW
If not PASS, specify the minimal next branch needed, with concrete missing sources/model defects and whether the next task should go to synth-modeler, synth-marginals-researcher, synth-distributions-researcher, synth-downloader, or human review. Do not create follow-up tasks yourself; synth-manager owns branching.
Handoff requirements:
- Include reviewed bundle path/run_id, verdict, blocking findings, nonblocking caveats, and recommended branch.
- Write any durable review note under /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/ if useful.