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SI national-scale population artifact gap: replace seeded PASS fixture or block with exact source/model requirements

blocked synth-modeler

Task metadata

id	t_5f9c7ffb
title	SI national-scale population artifact gap: replace seeded PASS fixture or block with exact source/model requirements
assignee	synth-modeler
status	blocked
tenant	synthestat
priority	96
workspace_kind	dir
workspace_path	/home/synthestat
created_by	synth-manager
created_at	2026-05-19 20:16:34 CEST
started_at	2026-05-19 20:16:39 CEST
completed_at

Latest summary

NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES: SI national completion blocked; current artifact is 8 persons/8 households vs SURS targets 2,123,949 population (2024-01-01) and 859,782 households (2021). Need frozen SURS PxWeb distributions, GURS/e-Prostor building/dwelling/address evidence, geography concordance, hidden/assignment evidence, and national-scale model validation before rerun.

Body

Country: SI. Reviewer PASS/final delivery note is explicitly limited to an 8-person, two-zone internal seeded Slovenia slice; /home/synthestat/output/SI/persons.parquet currently has 8 rows. This is not national Slovenia product completion. Build a concrete national-scale/credible larger-country candidate if existing provenanced SURS/Eurostat/GURS inputs support it; otherwise block with exact missing source/model requirements. Requirements: establish official national target population/households with provenance/reference period; compare synthetic row counts against target; preserve HARD > FIRM > SOFT > GUIDE; no silent constraint relaxation; keep hidden population, work/school/facility, dwelling/building, sparse fine-geography layers explicit with uncertainty/degradation flags; output docs/contracts/population_review_bundle.md-compliant artifacts and modeler handoffs. Do not relabel the seeded PASS bundle as national.

Parents

[
  "t_3c3e5fdd"
]

Children

[
  "t_d0b42f93"
]

Runs

ID	Profile	Status	Outcome	Started	Ended	Summary/error
100	synth-modeler	blocked	blocked	2026-05-19 20:16:39 CEST	2026-05-19 20:21:06 CEST	NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES: SI national completion blocked; current artifact is 8 persons/8 households vs SURS targets 2,123,949 population (2024-01-01) and 859,782 households (2021). Need frozen SURS PxWeb distributions, GURS/e-Prostor building/dwelling/address evidence, geography concordance, hidden/assignment evidence, and national-scale model validation before rerun.

Events

Time	Kind	Payload
2026-05-19 20:16:34 CEST	created	`{ "assignee": "synth-modeler", "status": "ready", "parents": [ "t_3c3e5fdd" ], "tenant": "synthestat", "skills": null }`
2026-05-19 20:16:39 CEST	claimed	`{ "lock": "vmi3188806:1590352", "expires": 1779215499, "run_id": 100 }`
2026-05-19 20:16:39 CEST	spawned	`{ "pid": 1668841 }`
2026-05-19 20:21:01 CEST	commented	`{ "author": "synth-modeler", "len": 1700 }`
2026-05-19 20:21:06 CEST	blocked	`{ "reason": "NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES: SI national completion blocked; current artifact is 8 persons/8 households vs SURS targets 2,123,949 population (2024-01-01) and 859,782 households (2021). Need frozen SURS PxWeb distributions, GURS/e-Prostor building/dwelling/address evidence, geography concordance, hidden/assignment evidence, and national-scale model validation before rerun." }`

Comments

2026-05-19 20:21:01 CEST · synth-modeler

SI national-scale gap/block handoff:

{
  "decision": "BLOCKED_NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES_AND_MODEL_INPUTS",
  "assessment_path": "/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/modeller/2026-05-19_1818_SI_national_scale_gap_assessment.json",
  "build_status": "/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/modeller/2026-05-19_1818_build_status.md",
  "missing_requirements": "/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/modeller/2026-05-19_1818_missing_requirements.md",
  "latest": "/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/modeller/latest.md",
  "official_targets": {
    "surs_population_2024_1_jan": 2123949,
    "surs_population_2024_1_july": 2126324,
    "surs_population_2021_total_05F3005S": 2108977,
    "surs_private_household_population_2021_05F3005S": 2072901,
    "surs_households_2021_05F3005S": 859782
  },
  "current_synthetic_counts": {
    "persons": 8,
    "households": 8,
    "dwellings": 8,
    "buildings": 3
  },
  "verification": "JSON/handoff files parsed and assertions passed via python; row counts verified from parquet.",
  "tests_or_commands": [
    "date -u +%Y-%m-%d_%H%MZ",
    "pyarrow row-count check for output/SI/*.parquet",
    "SURS PxWeb POST queries for 05A2010S.px and 05F3005S.px",
    "python assertions over generated gap assessment and handoff files"
  ],
  "reason_not_built": "Existing SI repo inputs establish national targets but do not include frozen SURS distribution payloads, GURS/e-Prostor national building/dwelling/address evidence, hidden-population evidence, assignment evidence, or validated national-scale model path required for a review-bundle-compliant national product. Building from the 8-person fixture would be fabrication/overclaiming."
}