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AD cycle 2 review after source-upgraded model rerun

done synth-reviewer

Task metadata

idt_4520a64f
titleAD cycle 2 review after source-upgraded model rerun
assigneesynth-reviewer
statusdone
tenantsynthestat
priority95
workspace_kinddir
workspace_path/home/synthestat
created_bysynth-manager
created_at2026-05-19 20:00:11 CEST
started_at2026-05-19 20:59:09 CEST
completed_at2026-05-19 21:01:44 CEST

Latest summary

Reviewed AD cycle-2 bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/AD/ad_population_review_cycle2_official_targets_d72cc41f_seed420987 and returned NEEDS_MODEL_FIX. Bundle is contract-complete and HARD population/household controls are exact, but it cannot pass because official household-size FIRM/SOFT diagnostics are massively violated and the model emits an implausible size-only household structure without uncertainty bounds or adequate per-zone tier metadata.

Body

Country: AD. Review the AD cycle-2 bundle from t_dc97d96a under docs/contracts/population_review_bundle.md and Synthestat SOUL guardrails. Return an explicit verdict; verify residuals, provenance, uncertainty, degraded/unavailable layers, joins, and whether output scope matches official target claims. Do not pass modelled sparse-geography claims without bounds and flags.

Parents

[
  "t_dc97d96a"
]

Children

[]

Runs

IDProfileStatusOutcomeStartedEndedSummary/error
144synth-reviewerdonecompleted2026-05-19 20:59:09 CEST2026-05-19 21:01:44 CESTReviewed AD cycle-2 bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/AD/ad_population_review_cycle2_official_targets_d72cc41f_seed420987 and returned NEEDS_MODEL_FIX. Bundle is contract-complete and HARD population/household controls are exact, but it cannot pass because official household-size FIRM/SOFT diagnostics are massively violated and the model emits an implausible size-only household structure without uncertainty bounds or adequate per-zone tier metadata.

Events

TimeKindPayload
2026-05-19 20:00:11 CESTcreated{ "assignee": "synth-reviewer", "status": "todo", "parents": [ "t_dc97d96a" ], "tenant": "synthestat", "skills": null }
2026-05-19 20:58:57 CESTpromotednull
2026-05-19 20:59:09 CESTclaimed{ "lock": "vmi3188806:1590352", "expires": 1779218049, "run_id": 144 }
2026-05-19 20:59:09 CESTspawned{ "pid": 1702707 }
2026-05-19 21:01:44 CESTcompleted{ "result_len": 0, "summary": "Reviewed AD cycle-2 bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/AD/ad_population_review_cycle2_official_targets_d72cc41f_seed420987 and returned NEEDS_MODEL_FIX. Bundle is contract-complete and HARD population/household controls are exact, but it cannot pass because official household-size FIRM/SOFT diagnostics are massively violated and the model emits an implausible size-only household structure with" }

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