ee_population_private_household_national_2021_cycle2_seed420987

Local run directory: /home/synthestat/output/runs/EE/ee_population_private_household_national_2021_cycle2_seed420987

This static page mirrors the run diagnostics/messages so they are clickable from the QA dashboard.

Output status

People	Households	Dwellings	Houses/buildings	Max marginal deviation	HARD status	Validation rows
—	561,655	—	—	—	—	—

Run files

File	Bytes	Kind
`assignment_diagnostics.json`	138	file
`build_manifest.json`	1,994	file
`constraint_residuals.json`	1,179	file
`distribution_diagnostics.json`	2,588	file
`dwelling_building_diagnostics.json`	384	file
`geography_quality_tiers.json`	312	file
`hidden_population_overlays.unavailable.json`	309	file
`household_diagnostics.json`	2,695	file
`model_notes.md`	2,346	file
`source_provenance.json`	9,952	file
`synthetic_building_assignments.unavailable.json`	661	file
`synthetic_dwellings.parquet`	1,829,398	file
`synthetic_households.parquet`	3,489,248	file
`synthetic_persons.parquet`	8,240,477	file
`uncertainty_summary.json`	781	file
`work_school_assignments.unavailable.json`	213	file

Datasets and distributions

Lists come from the latest run bundle: source_provenance.json, distribution_diagnostics.json, and build_manifest.json.

Summary

Datasets used	0
Distributions available	0
Constraints/distributions used in synthesis	3
Constraint types	—
Dataset variants	—
Finest-geography status	—

Source gaps

No source gaps listed.

Datasets used

Dataset/source ID
None listed yet.

Best source by distribution family

Distribution family	Dataset/source ID
None listed yet.

Available distributions / priors in registry

Spec	Label	Type	Geo	Status	Variant	Confidence	Data URI
None listed yet.

Constraints/distributions used in synthesis manifest

Constraint or distribution ID
`EE_STAT_RL21707_private_households_total`
`EE_STAT_RL21707_private_household_members_total`
`EE_STAT_RL21703_private_household_age_sex`

model_notes.md

# EE national private-household population review bundle — cycle 2

Run: `ee_population_private_household_national_2021_cycle2_seed420987`

This cycle-2 bundle fixes the reviewer-blocking child-alone household assignment from the prior national candidate. The generator now assigns one adult reference person to every ordinary private household before filling remaining slots, while preserving the exact frozen Statistics Estonia private-household age/sex and household-size HARD totals. Household realism diagnostics: `pass` with blocking checks `{'child_without_adult_households': 0, 'single_child_households': 0, 'minor_reference_persons': 0, 'reference_count_errors': 0, 'household_size_mismatches': 0}`.

The bundle remains deliberately scoped to private-household population, not complete total population: the 2021 census total population is 1,331,824, while the official private-household member count is 1,317,666. The residual 14,158 people outside private households is documented as unavailable hidden/collective-population overlay rather than converted into unsupported person labels.

## Exact HARD controls

- EE_STAT_RL21707 private households: target 561,655, synthetic 561,655, residual 0.
- EE_STAT_RL21707 private-household members: target 1,317,666, synthetic 1,317,666, residual 0.
- EE_STAT_RL21703 private-household age/sex totals: target 1,317,666, synthetic 1,317,666, residual 0 at aggregate generated-control level.

## Household diagnostics

- Child-without-adult private households: 0.
- Single-child private households: 0.
- Minor reference persons: 0.
- The 6-10 and 11+ household size source cells are open classes. `household_diagnostics.json` reports measured open-class household/member totals separately from generated exact-size splits.

## Degradation / unavailable layers

- Synthetic dwellings are one occupied dwelling per private household; real building assignment is unavailable pending Maa-amet building/apartment reconciliation.
- Hidden/collective population is not person-labelled.
- Education, occupation, industry, income, origin, work/school, and facility assignments are intentionally unassigned unless supported by a validated EE national assignment model.

Reviewer should validate this as a national-scale private-household candidate, not as a final all-population/all-attribute release.

build_manifest.json

{
  "country": "EE",
  "run_id": "ee_population_private_household_national_2021_cycle2_seed420987",
  "created_at": "2026-05-19T18:57:53.668931+00:00",
  "project_root": "/home/synthestat",
  "git_commit": "a5ad12d-dirty",
  "random_seed": 420987,
  "source_catalogue_version": "/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/downloader/2026-05-19_2035_ee_population_qa_freeze_catalogue.json",
  "geography_version": "country_EE_only; no subnational zoning in this candidate",
  "classification_crosswalk_versions": {
    "education": "unassigned",
    "occupation": "unassigned",
    "industry": "unassigned"
  },
  "constraints_used": [
    "EE_STAT_RL21707_private_households_total",
    "EE_STAT_RL21707_private_household_members_total",
    "EE_STAT_RL21703_private_household_age_sex"
  ],
  "constraints_relaxed": [],
  "zones_degraded": [
    {
      "zone": "EE",
      "quality_tier": "B/C",
      "reason": "national private-household exact; building assignment and non-private population overlay unavailable"
    }
  ],
  "hidden_population_scope": {
    "included": [],
    "excluded_aggregate_residual": 14158,
    "evidence_status": "aggregate residual only"
  },
  "assignment_scope": {
    "work_school": "unavailable",
    "facility": "unavailable",
    "evidence_status": "not implemented"
  },
  "known_limitations": [
    "This is national private-household scale, not total-population-with-collective-households scale.",
    "Household roles are age-aware model assignments: one adult reference per ordinary private household; family/kinship labels beyond adult/minor/reference are not measured microdata.",
    "No hidden-population person labels were generated from aggregate residuals.",
    "No real Maa-amet building assignment was claimed despite frozen WFS evidence.",
    "No socioeconomic micro-attributes were assigned beyond explicit unassigned/modelled flags."
  ],
  "row_counts": {
    "persons": 1317666,
    "households": 561655,
    "dwellings": 561655
  }
}

constraint_residuals.json

{
  "constraints": [
    {
      "id": "EE_STAT_RL21707_private_households_total",
      "source_id": "EE_STAT_RL21707",
      "period": "2021 census",
      "type": "HARD",
      "target": 561655,
      "synthetic": 561655,
      "residual": 0,
      "status": "pass"
    },
    {
      "id": "EE_STAT_RL21707_private_household_members_total",
      "source_id": "EE_STAT_RL21707",
      "period": "2021 census",
      "type": "HARD",
      "target": 1317666,
      "synthetic": 1317666,
      "residual": 0,
      "status": "pass"
    },
    {
      "id": "EE_STAT_RL21703_private_household_age_sex",
      "source_id": "EE_STAT_RL21703",
      "period": "2021 census",
      "type": "HARD",
      "target": 1317666,
      "synthetic": 1317666,
      "residual": 0,
      "status": "pass"
    },
    {
      "id": "EE_STAT_RL21001_total_population_informational",
      "source_id": "EE_STAT_RL21001",
      "period": "2021 census",
      "type": "INFORMATIONAL_NOT_HARD_FOR_PRIVATE_HOUSEHOLD_BUNDLE",
      "target": 1331824,
      "synthetic_private_household_persons": 1317666,
      "residual_total_minus_private": 14158,
      "status": "documented_exclusion"
    }
  ]
}

household_diagnostics.json

{
  "country": "EE",
  "run_id": "ee_population_private_household_national_2021_cycle2_seed420987",
  "household_size_diagnostics": {
    "source_exact_size_counts": {
      "1": {
        "households": 207765,
        "members": 207765,
        "status": "measured_exact_size"
      },
      "2": {
        "households": 153133,
        "members": 306266,
        "status": "measured_exact_size"
      },
      "3": {
        "households": 79733,
        "members": 239199,
        "status": "measured_exact_size"
      },
      "4": {
        "households": 69024,
        "members": 276096,
        "status": "measured_exact_size"
      },
      "5": {
        "households": 34006,
        "members": 170030,
        "status": "measured_exact_size"
      }
    },
    "source_open_class_counts": {
      "6_10": {
        "households": 17764,
        "members": 114596,
        "status": "measured_open_class_not_exact_internal_size"
      },
      "11_plus": {
        "households": 230,
        "members": 3714,
        "status": "measured_open_class_not_exact_internal_size"
      }
    },
    "generated_size_counts": {
      "1": 207765,
      "2": 153133,
      "3": 79733,
      "4": 69024,
      "5": 34006,
      "6": 9752,
      "7": 8012,
      "16": 196,
      "17": 34
    },
    "generated_split_policy": "Within official open classes, split sizes deterministically only to satisfy source open-class household/member totals; generated 6/7/16/17 counts are model outputs, not measured exact targets.",
    "invariants": {
      "households": {
        "target": 561655,
        "synthetic": 561655,
        "residual": 0
      },
      "members": {
        "target": 1317666,
        "synthetic": 1317666,
        "residual": 0
      }
    }
  },
  "household_count": 561655,
  "member_count": 1317666,
  "family_composition_status": "pass_age_role_type_realism_checks",
  "age_role_type_realism": {
    "status": "pass",
    "blocking_checks": {
      "child_without_adult_households": 0,
      "single_child_households": 0,
      "minor_reference_persons": 0,
      "reference_count_errors": 0,
      "household_size_mismatches": 0
    },
    "policy": "Ordinary private households require exactly one adult reference person; single-person private households must be adults; children may only appear as non-reference members in households with at least one adult."
  },
  "invariant": "sum(synthetic_households.size) == synthetic_persons rows == official private household members",
  "large_household_note": "6-10 and 11+ open classes are source open classes. Generated exact splits are model outputs recorded separately in household_size_diagnostics.generated_size_counts."
}

dwelling_building_diagnostics.json

{
  "synthetic_dwellings": 561655,
  "dwelling_model": "one occupied synthetic dwelling per private household",
  "real_building_assignment": "unavailable_pending_maaamet_reconciliation",
  "maaamet_frozen_features": {
    "apartment_objects": 546366,
    "residential_building_polygons": 285677
  },
  "quality_tier": "C_for_dwelling_assignment_until_real_building_reconciliation"
}

distribution_diagnostics.json

{
  "age_sex_private_household_targets": [
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "0-6",
      "age_mid": 3,
      "count": 50562
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "7-11",
      "age_mid": 9,
      "count": 37204
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "12-17",
      "age_mid": 14,
      "count": 44884
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "18-24",
      "age_mid": 21,
      "count": 44345
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "25-34",
      "age_mid": 29,
      "count": 89821
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "35-44",
      "age_mid": 39,
      "count": 98629
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "45-54",
      "age_mid": 49,
      "count": 89311
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "55-64",
      "age_mid": 59,
      "count": 78036
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "65-74",
      "age_mid": 69,
      "count": 58066
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "75-84",
      "age_mid": 79,
      "count": 27266
    },
    {
      "sex": "M",
      "age_group": "85 and older",
      "age_mid": 87,
      "count": 7838
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "0-6",
      "age_mid": 3,
      "count": 47720
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "7-11",
      "age_mid": 9,
      "count": 35478
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "12-17",
      "age_mid": 14,
      "count": 42566
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "18-24",
      "age_mid": 21,
      "count": 42248
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "25-34",
      "age_mid": 29,
      "count": 81733
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "35-44",
      "age_mid": 39,
      "count": 90909
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "45-54",
      "age_mid": 49,
      "count": 88534
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "55-64",
      "age_mid": 59,
      "count": 90430
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "65-74",
      "age_mid": 69,
      "count": 87208
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "75-84",
      "age_mid": 79,
      "count": 59140
    },
    {
      "sex": "F",
      "age_group": "85 and older",
      "age_mid": 87,
      "count": 25738
    }
  ],
  "age_sex_target_count": 22,
  "age_model": "age groups represented by deterministic midpoint birth dates; uncertainty_flag marks midpoint synthetic age",
  "socioeconomic_attributes": "not assigned; frozen tables exist but cross-tab implementation was not ready for national person-level assignment in this run"
}

uncertainty_summary.json

{
  "status": "uncertainty_explicit",
  "hard_constraints": "national private household count, private household member count, and private-household age/sex totals match exactly",
  "modelled_quantities": [
    "exact age within age band represented by midpoint birth_date",
    "household member roles beyond reference/minor/adult heuristic",
    "dwelling records inferred one per private household"
  ],
  "not_modelled": [
    "collective/hidden population person labels",
    "education/occupation/industry/income/origin assignments",
    "work/school/facility assignments",
    "real building assignment"
  ],
  "bounds": {
    "private_household_person_count_residual": 0,
    "household_count_residual": 0,
    "total_population_excluded_non_private_residual": 14158
  }
}

source_provenance.json

{
  "frozen_catalogue": "/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/downloader/2026-05-19_2035_ee_population_qa_freeze_catalogue.json",
  "statistics_estonia_freeze_root": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/statistics_estonia_pxweb/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze",
  "maaamet_wfs_manifest": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/maaamet_wfs/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_maaamet_wfs_freeze_manifest.json",
  "used_source_ids": [
    "EE_STAT_RL21703",
    "EE_STAT_RL21707",
    "EE_STAT_RL21001",
    "EE_MAAAMET_ADS_KORTERIOMANDID",
    "EE_MAAAMET_ELUHOONED"
  ],
  "used_records": [
    {
      "country": "EE",
      "source_system": "Statistics Estonia PxWeb",
      "source_id": "EE_STAT_RL21001",
      "table_or_layer_id": "rahvaloendus/rel2021/rahvastiku_paiknemine/elukoht-ja-soo-vanusjaotus/RL21001.px",
      "api_url": "https://andmed.stat.ee/api/v1/en/stat/rahvaloendus/rel2021/rahvastiku_paiknemine/elukoht-ja-soo-vanusjaotus/RL21001.px",
      "status": "frozen",
      "retrieval_started_at": "2026-05-19T18:30:13.665102+00:00",
      "retrieval_finished_at": "2026-05-19T18:30:13.834326+00:00",
      "table_updated": "not_exposed_in_table_metadata_json",
      "metadata_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/statistics_estonia_pxweb/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_stat_rl21001/ee_stat_rl21001_metadata.json",
      "metadata_sha256": "e9b15ae79dc7d0892434c323225ed1fec2ec66cd87b4787be6bc000b18086496",
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      "request_sha256": "235545240577dfead591b1fa30c1c4fea7359296d4d983df95a36a45cd75cbd9",
      "payload_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/statistics_estonia_pxweb/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_stat_rl21001/ee_stat_rl21001_payload.csv",
      "payload_sha256": "1bb50f3af606268dfde1b3164e1a61e0146cf7c0ae322ae4c9bbc2f421b874d8",
      "row_count": 735,
      "cell_count_full_cartesian": 77175,
      "payload_bytes": 294668,
      "schema_sketch": "Year (1) | Sex (3) | Place of residence (245) | Age (105)",
      "csv_header_sketch": "Year | Sex | Place of residence | Age total | 0-17 | 18-64 | 65 and older | 0 | 1 | 2",
      "quality_flags": "raw PxWeb CSV is publisher-shaped/wide; hierarchy rows may be non-additive; preserve code lists and downgrade if crosswalked/suppressed; table updated timestamp not exposed by table metadata endpoint during freeze"
    },
    {
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      "source_system": "Statistics Estonia PxWeb",
      "source_id": "EE_STAT_RL21703",
      "table_or_layer_id": "rahvaloendus/rel2021/Leibkonnad-ja-perkonnad/RL21703.px",
      "api_url": "https://andmed.stat.ee/api/v1/en/stat/rahvaloendus/rel2021/Leibkonnad-ja-perkonnad/RL21703.px",
      "status": "frozen",
      "retrieval_started_at": "2026-05-19T18:30:19.044287+00:00",
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      "request_sha256": "2ecfecde1d91679cafcd6ca45bbffcd0af7492d55bfc67a2168ed1c87c828b4c",
      "payload_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/statistics_estonia_pxweb/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_stat_rl21703/ee_stat_rl21703_payload.csv",
      "payload_sha256": "52a2fe920779b914508693937be960deec74e03ff8d717c29227076107b845ac",
      "row_count": 2590,
      "cell_count_full_cartesian": 93240,
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      "schema_sketch": "Year (1) | Place of residence (185) | Person’s status in household and family (14) | Sex (3) | Age group (12)",
      "csv_header_sketch": "Year | Place of residence | Person’s status in household and family | Males and females Age groups total | Males and females 0-6 | Males and females 7-11 | Males and females 12-17 | Males and females 18-24 | Males and females 25-34 | Males and females 35-44",
      "quality_flags": "raw PxWeb CSV is publisher-shaped/wide; hierarchy rows may be non-additive; preserve code lists and downgrade if crosswalked/suppressed; table updated timestamp not exposed by table metadata endpoint during freeze"
    },
    {
      "country": "EE",
      "source_system": "Statistics Estonia PxWeb",
      "source_id": "EE_STAT_RL21707",
      "table_or_layer_id": "rahvaloendus/rel2021/Leibkonnad-ja-perkonnad/RL21707.PX",
      "api_url": "https://andmed.stat.ee/api/v1/en/stat/rahvaloendus/rel2021/Leibkonnad-ja-perkonnad/RL21707.PX",
      "status": "frozen",
      "retrieval_started_at": "2026-05-19T18:30:19.710426+00:00",
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      "table_updated": "not_exposed_in_table_metadata_json",
      "metadata_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/statistics_estonia_pxweb/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_stat_rl21707/ee_stat_rl21707_metadata.json",
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      "request_sha256": "41768c26ff65520e1b985bdf5f2c42e46173f58dcb4e207e7fdd273ed3168d5b",
      "payload_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/statistics_estonia_pxweb/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_stat_rl21707/ee_stat_rl21707_payload.csv",
      "payload_sha256": "850df855f861750c90ee39191e6cbaccaf2ffbd262e43420cf29ac05b2beecaa",
      "row_count": 594,
      "cell_count_full_cartesian": 9504,
      "payload_bytes": 78466,
      "schema_sketch": "Year (1) | Place of residence (22) | Age and number of household members (27) | Household size (8) | Indicator (2)",
      "csv_header_sketch": "Year | Place of residence | Age and number of household members | All households Number of households | All households Number of household members | 1-member household Number of households | 1-member household Number of household members | 2-member household Number of households | 2-member household Number of household members | 3-member household Number of households",
      "quality_flags": "raw PxWeb CSV is publisher-shaped/wide; hierarchy rows may be non-additive; preserve code lists and downgrade if crosswalked/suppressed; table updated timestamp not exposed by table metadata endpoint during freeze"
    },
    {
      "country": "EE",
      "source_system": "Maa-amet WFS",
      "source_id": "EE_MAAAMET_ADS_KORTERIOMANDID",
      "table_or_layer_id": "maaamet:ads_korteriomandid",
      "api_url": "https://gsavalik.envir.ee/geoserver/maaamet/wfs?service=WFS&version=2.0.0&request=GetFeature&typeNames=maaamet%3Aads_korteriomandid&resultType=hits",
      "status": "frozen",
      "retrieval_started_at": "2026-05-19T18:31:48.246378+00:00",
      "retrieval_finished_at": "2026-05-19T18:33:06.361373+00:00",
      "table_updated": "not_exposed_in_hits_response",
      "metadata_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/maaamet_wfs/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_maaamet_ads_korteriomandid/ee_maaamet_ads_korteriomandid_hits.xml",
      "metadata_sha256": "b1ff760aab871a4cba61e94b1e0a9a1ee27a4e90f147ebfa4f42824ceb3bb401",
      "request_path": "paged WFS URLs embedded per page in manifest",
      "request_sha256": "see manifest",
      "payload_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/maaamet_wfs/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_maaamet_ads_korteriomandid",
      "payload_sha256": "per-page checksums in manifest",
      "row_count": 546366,
      "cell_count_full_cartesian": "n/a",
      "payload_bytes": 195402911,
      "schema_sketch": "GeoJSON features; first properties: ads_oid, hoone_aadress, hoone_oid, id_registris, korteri_aadress, sys_id; geometry=Point",
      "csv_header_sketch": "n/a",
      "quality_flags": "paged GeoJSON freeze; reconcile against Statistics Estonia dwelling/building totals before HARD use"
    },
    {
      "country": "EE",
      "source_system": "Maa-amet WFS",
      "source_id": "EE_MAAAMET_ELUHOONED",
      "table_or_layer_id": "maaamet:eluhooned",
      "api_url": "https://gsavalik.envir.ee/geoserver/maaamet/wfs?service=WFS&version=2.0.0&request=GetFeature&typeNames=maaamet%3Aeluhooned&resultType=hits",
      "status": "frozen",
      "retrieval_started_at": "2026-05-19T18:33:06.365370+00:00",
      "retrieval_finished_at": "2026-05-19T18:34:15.903508+00:00",
      "table_updated": "not_exposed_in_hits_response",
      "metadata_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/maaamet_wfs/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_maaamet_eluhooned/ee_maaamet_eluhooned_hits.xml",
      "metadata_sha256": "4ed135171b7ae6c49535c60dbc68a4ce0e336c1ba0dbb35e58f59e533d86a4cb",
      "request_path": "paged WFS URLs embedded per page in manifest",
      "request_sha256": "see manifest",
      "payload_path": "/home/synthestat/data/raw/EE/maaamet_wfs/2026-05-19_population_qa_freeze/ee_maaamet_eluhooned",
      "payload_sha256": "per-page checksums in manifest",
      "row_count": 285677,
      "cell_count_full_cartesian": "n/a",
      "payload_bytes": 180425095,
      "schema_sketch": "GeoJSON features; first properties: ads_oid, ehr_gid, ehr_kood, ehr_url, etak_id, kaos_kood, kaos_nimetus, lahiaadress, taisaadress, unik; geometry=Polygon",
      "csv_header_sketch": "n/a",
      "quality_flags": "paged GeoJSON freeze; reconcile against Statistics Estonia dwelling/building totals before HARD use"
    }
  ],
  "wfs_counts": {
    "total": 2,
    "frozen": 2,
    "failed": 0
  },
  "retrieval_timestamp_policy": "Use frozen payload timestamps/checksums from parent downloader task; do not refresh live data in modeler run."
}